In a certain community, 8% of all adults over 50 have diabetes. If a health service in this community correctly diagnoses 95% of all persons with diabetes as having the disease and incorrectly diagnoses 2% of all persons without diabetes as having the disease, find the probabilities that
a) the community health service will diagnose an adult over 50 as having diabetes.
b) a person over 50 diagnosed by the health service as having diabetes actually has the disease.

Answers

Answer 1

Answer and Step-by-step explanation:

Solution:

Given:

Let A is the event of a person over 50 diagnosed by health service.

B1 is the event that an adult over 50 actually has diabetes.

B2 is the event that an adult over 50 does not have diabetes.

P (B1) = 8% = 0.08

And P (B2) = 1 – P (B1)

                  = 1 – 0.08

                  = 0.92

Correctly diagnose of all persons with diabetes= 95%

P (A/B1) = 0.95

Incorrectly diagnose of all persons without diabetes=   2%

P (A/B2) = 0.02

(a) ) the community health service will diagnose an adult over 50 as having diabetes.

P (B1) P (A/B1) = (0.08) (0.95) = 0.076

P (B2) p (A/B2) = (0.92) (0.02) =0.0184

P (B1) P (A/B1) + P (B2) p (A/B2) =  0.076 + 0.0184

                                                     = 0.0944

(b)  A person over 50 diagnosed by the health service as having diabetes actually has the disease.

By using formula:

P (B1/A) = P (B1) P (A/B1) / P (B1) P(A/B1) + P (B2) P (A/B2)

Put all the given values:

= (0.08) (0.95) / (0.08) (0.95) + (0.92) (0.02)

=0.076 / 0.076 + 0.0184

=0.076 / 0.0944

= 0.8050

Answer 2

Using conditional probability, it is found that there is a:

a) 0.0944 = 9.44% probability that the community health service will diagnose an adult over 50 as having diabetes.

b) 0.8051 = 80.51% probability that a person over 50 diagnosed by the health service as having diabetes actually has the disease.

Conditional Probability

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}[/tex]

In which

P(B|A) is the probability of event B happening, given that A happened. [tex]P(A \cap B)[/tex] is the probability of both A and B happening. P(A) is the probability of A happening.

Item a:

The percentages of a positive test is:

95% of 8%(have diabetes).2% of 92%(do not have diabetes).

Hence:

[tex]P(A) = 0.95(0.08) + 0.02(0.92) = 0.0944[/tex]

0.0944 = 9.44% probability that the community health service will diagnose an adult over 50 as having diabetes.

Item b:

Event A: Positive test.Event B: Has the disease.

From item a, [tex]P(A) = 0.0944[/tex].

The probability of both a positive test and having the disease is:

[tex]P(A \cap B) = 0.95(0.08)[/tex]

Hence, the conditional probability is:

[tex]P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} = \frac{0.95(0.08)}{0.0944} = 0.8051[/tex]

0.8051 = 80.51% probability that a person over 50 diagnosed by the health service as having diabetes actually has the disease.

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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I hope this helps!

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

The angles are corresponding angles and since the lines are parallel, they are equal

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Step-by-step explanation:

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then, solve for x.

steps :

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3. divide both sides by 2 to get 16=x

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Answers

Answer:

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Answers

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

Let us explain how to solve the question

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The sign of inequality is greater than without equal, that means the line represents it must be a dotted line because all the points on the line do not belong to the solution set of the inequality.

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→ Subtract 10 from both sides to move 10 to the other side

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→ That means 5y < 2x - 10

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7.

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8.

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a) 8
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2/5

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

2.25 is your answer

Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

14.50 divided by 2 is 7.25, therefore one box of paper will be 7.25

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Answer:

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Answer:

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Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

27/20 or 1 7/20

Step-by-step explanation:

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2) add the numerators

8+5+14=27

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Answers

Answer:

0.5

Step-by-step explanation:

We have to find a  number which is greater than the absolute value of -3/8.

Absolute value of -3/8 = 3/8

3/8=0.375

Now, we have to find a number which is greater than 0.375

1/4=0.25

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Step-by-step explanation:

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Answers

Answer:

512

Step-by-step explanation

128 ounces in a gallon times that by 4. ====== ....... 512.

Ur welcome please heart this

512 ounces would be correct

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Answer:

B

Step-by-step explanation:

18 yd = 6 ft
O True
O False

Answers

Answer:

True

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

False

Step-by-step explanation:

It's the other way around. A yard is three feet.

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Answers

Answer:

13.20

Step-by-step explanation:

1/5 (1+5+10+20+100) - 14

The required expected value is 13.20.

A box contains bill of = $1, $5, $10, $20, and $100
It costs $14 to reach in and withdraw one bill.

What is expected value?

Its estimated value of the variable in probability.


Expected value=  mean - 14
                       =    (1+5+10+20+100)/5 -14
                       =    13.20

Thus, the required expected value is 13.20.


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